Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-02 0.162537 0.183129 0.204746 0.229077 0.255645 0.283720 0.315576
2025-03-09 0.133821 0.161434 0.191948 0.227983 0.269182 0.314623 0.368329
2025-03-16 0.112445 0.144160 0.180824 0.225944 0.279559 0.340807 0.415614
2025-03-23 0.099341 0.134451 0.176681 0.230531 0.296637 0.374387 0.471934
2025-03-30 0.086643 0.123513 0.169558 0.230242 0.306988 0.399651 0.518711
2025-04-06 0.076174 0.114075 0.163107 0.229727 0.316289 0.423288 0.563696
2025-04-13 0.067412 0.105837 0.157237 0.229088 0.324796 0.445651 0.607272
2025-04-20 0.061009 0.100089 0.154001 0.231333 0.336659 0.472196 0.656486
2025-04-27 0.056795 0.096970 0.153950 0.237575 0.353718 0.505643 0.715190
2025-05-04 0.051694 0.091979 0.150759 0.239045 0.364079 0.530311 0.762835
2025-05-11 0.047983 0.088708 0.149703 0.243262 0.378107 0.559998 0.817604
2025-05-18 0.045420 0.086971 0.150697 0.250310 0.396142 0.595384 0.880658
2025-05-25 0.040619 0.081265 0.145465 0.248167 0.401394 0.613979 0.922350
2025-06-01 0.036864 0.076922 0.141985 0.248348 0.409849 0.637103 0.970696
2025-06-08 0.033181 0.072305 0.137684 0.246926 0.415726 0.656596 1.014332
2025-06-15 0.031187 0.070502 0.137792 0.252283 0.431761 0.690807 1.079203
2025-06-22 0.028402 0.066927 0.134652 0.252220 0.439456 0.713078 1.127567
2025-06-29 0.025840 0.063486 0.131456 0.251806 0.446452 0.734353 1.174813
2025-07-06 0.023502 0.060218 0.128293 0.251197 0.452989 0.754962 1.221381
2025-07-13 0.021830 0.058119 0.127040 0.253656 0.464336 0.782870 1.279001
2025-07-20 0.020879 0.057438 0.128299 0.260396 0.482653 0.821570 1.353106
2025-07-27 0.019335 0.055289 0.126662 0.261992 0.492629 0.847782 1.409192
2025-08-03 0.018272 0.054095 0.126733 0.266534 0.507480 0.881673 1.477236